« 我国螺杆式制冷压缩机行业市场需求状况 | 分类: 行业新闻 | » 中央空调压缩机原理
2008-1-29 17:42:18
空调压缩机行业举步艰难
空调压缩机行业可谓是举步艰难，面对供过于求的市场和原材料上涨的窘境，空调压缩机企业在2006年几乎都处于亏损状态。对于处在增长瓶颈阶段的压缩机行业，企业又该如何自救？记者在采访后发现，目前空调压缩机企业把2007年的发展重点都放在开发新产品，加大高附加值与大功率机型来确保利润增长点。另外，在2007年“价格必涨无疑”的行业共识下，加强与空调整机企业的谈判能力也是各空调压缩机厂商的努力之处。据中数据显示，虽然2006年空调压缩机增速明显放缓，但根据各企业在2006冷年底的计划，2007冷年行业的合计产能预计超过8000万台。
产能超过8000万台
从空调压缩机两大种类来看，应用在商用领域更多的涡旋压缩机在去年需求量不到190万台，虽然高出2005年20个百分点，但仍未达到2004年所预计的200万台的高位。因此涡旋压缩机已经到了实际需求的饱和，增长乏力。另外，受到双转子旋转压缩机更多的冲击，预计2007年涡旋压缩机总体需求量应该维持在200万台左右。
更多应用在家用领域的旋转压缩机虽然出现了盲目扩张产能后的阵痛，但面对广阔的市场，仍没有阻止压缩机企业的扩能步伐，据数据显示，虽然2006年空调压缩机增速明显放缓，但根据各企业在2006冷年底的计划，2007冷年行业的合计产能预计超过8000万台。
2007年价格必涨无疑
对于2007年空调压缩机价格的走势，记者在采访西安安庆、广东美芝以及LG的压缩机企业，他们一致表示空调压缩机在2007年必涨无疑。
西安安庆制能设备有限公司宣传负责人刘燕林表示，压缩机企业目前已经处于利润最底线，以小匹空调压缩机为例，一台利润只有10元。因此，在今年原材料涨价的趋势下，压缩机企业不可能坐以待毙。
LG压缩机负责人金东熙经理同样认为，2006年压缩机行业几乎处于亏损的状态，企业要扭转这一局面，必须对价格有所调整。今年压缩机的价格相比去年将会呈现稳中有升的态势。
赛诺市场研究公司分析师韩愈表示，目前被七八家企业垄断的压缩机市场，会促成压缩机企业在价格上的联盟。
但价格波动除了受原材料影响的因素外，仍然受控于整机企业，这一特点也将会在今年表现得更加明显。据业内人士透露，从去年旋转压缩机行业来看，由于旋转压缩机企业对原材料涨价的反应不及时，当原材料涨到顶峰时，却一直拖到去年6月份才开始与整机谈判，时值冷年即将结束之际，空调企业并不买账，最终以压缩机企业的妥协而告终。
另外，涡旋压缩机行业也同样面临这一问题，在面对空调整机如此大的采购规模，涡旋压缩机企业都无法因为价格而放弃这块市场，最终的涨价也只是光打雷不下雨。
金东熙说，空调压缩机厂商必须加强与空调整机企业的谈判能力，才能确保产品的利润。因此，2007年，压缩机企业的溢价能力还将面临更大的压力。
转向大功率产品
2006年由于成本被挤压严重，空调压缩机企业在2007年将积极寻求新的利润增长点。
在小匹压缩机利润日益微薄的状态下，企业开始将产品转为大功率压缩机和变频机。
刘燕林表示：“旋转压缩机已经开始朝大匹压缩机方向发展，目前已经出现5HP压缩机，而小匹的涡旋压缩机已经开始减产，开始生产10HP以上的压缩机。”
可以看到，虽然在去年5HP双转子压缩机只是小批量的生产，但其在成本及价格上的优势将会对07年的涡旋压缩机存在一定的冲击。
韩愈认为，07年涡旋变频压缩机会因为价格的下跌，使其市场份额的比重会逐渐上升，而旋转压缩机的比重会有所下降。
另外，新冷媒机型也将是今年企业主推的产品。广东美芝制冷设备有限公司战略企划部经理戴加满表示：“高效、节能、环保将是2007年压缩机产品发展的新方向。”
可以预见，利润的导向将会不断促使压缩机企业研发新的产品，追求更高的标准和性能。另外，高端产品带动的高利润，无论从产品附加值还是长远的发展来看，都是压缩机企业未来拓展的一个重点。据悉，广州日立压缩机已经计划投资1亿元建一条15万台的直流变频压缩机生产线。
专业厂商受挤压
目前，空调企业自配套压缩机越来越明显，空调企业也在紧锣密鼓地开始延伸到压缩机产品上来，格力、美的、春兰、格兰仕都纷纷通过合资、收购等方式切入压缩机领域。这也促使专业压缩机厂商的市场份额被自配套压缩机进一步“吞噬”。
我们可以看到，格力旗下的凌达压缩机99%供给格力；春兰小匹压缩机实现自给；格兰仕年产能达40万台的压缩机也主要实现自给；长虹在去年下半年和中国台湾东元在四川绵阳合建压缩机生产基地。
并且，从压缩机的供给情况来看，一些专业压缩机企业为上述空调企业供货的数量减少，并出现大量下滑的现状。
戴加满认为：“这种自配套压缩机生产企业的比例将在2007年进一步加大，并会挤掉专业压缩机厂商的份额。”
因此，在2007年，如何更好的生存对于专业压缩机企业来说更为严峻。
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